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DTN Midday Grain Comments 06/02 11:28
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures All Lower at Midday Tuesday
Corn futures are 3 to 4 cents lower at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are
11 to 12 cents lower; wheat futures are 8 to 14 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 3 to 4 cents lower at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are
11 to 12 cents lower; wheat futures are 8 to 14 cents lower. The U.S. stock
market is firmer at midday with the S&P 15 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 5 points lower. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is flat
with crude off .55 and natural gas off .03. Livestock trade is mostly lower
with hogs leading. Precious metals are firmer with gold up 25.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 3 to 4 cents lower at midday with trade scoring fresh lows
for the move and spread action firming a bit amid the broad, risk-off trade.
Ethanol margins should hold the recent gains with the corn pullback while
unleaded consolidates off the highs. Basis continues to hold the recent range
for now. Weather looks to keep the west wetter in the short term with temps
holding gains. The weekly Crop Progress report showed 67% good to excellent and
5% poor to very poor with 93% planted versus 92% on average and 76% emerged
versus 74% on average. On the July chart, the 20-day moving average at $4.68 is
resistance with the recent low at $4.39 as support, which we scored this
morning.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 11 to 12 cents lower at midday with trade working just
off the early lows with products flat as oil works to consolidate the fresh
highs. Meal is narrowly mixed and oil is 65 to 75 points lower. South America
will continue to move post-harvest bushels onto the world market as harvest
wraps up. Basis and crush margins look to hold the recent range into June.
Planting should wrap up except for double-crop soon. Weekly crop progress
showed 66% good to excellent and 5% poor to very poor with 87% planted versus
80% on average and 65% emerged versus 57% on average. On the July contract,
chart resistance is the 20-day moving average at $12.01 with support the lower
Bollinger Band at $11.74, which we are testing this morning.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 8 to 14 cents lower at midday with trade continuing to
sell off into harvest as we get more oversold and long liquidation continues.
Weekly crop progress showed wheat 5% harvested versus 3% on average and 87%
headed versus 79% on average. Conditions were unchanged at 26% good to
excellent and 44% poor to very poor for winter wheat with spring wheat 47% good
to excellent and 6% poor to very poor. Spring wheat was 94% planted versus 89%
on average and 72% emerged versus 67% on average. Matif wheat is lower as well.
On the KC July chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $6.87 with the
fresh low at $6.32 as support.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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